Conclusion first, evidence afterwards might sound like a strange way for intelligence analysts to go about their work, but that’s what used to happen sometimes in this critically important sector, says Barry Zulauf, Ph.D., Chief of Analytic Integration at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. For example, a supervisor might tell an analyst what the agency believed occurred prior to a terrorist attack then ask the analyst to go find evidence to prove it. Of course, this was backwards, Zulauf said. Here he talks with Frederic Lemieux, Faculty Director of Georgetown’s graduate program in Applied Intelligence, about the creation of common intelligence analysis standards that are designed to address these and other biases in intelligence work.
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